What is the current probability for "EV commodity prices on Aug 12, 2026"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "EV commodity prices on Aug 12, 2026" are Above 1211.95 84%, Above 1271.95 16% — 4 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUEV-26AUG12. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.