What is the current probability for "EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026" are Above 1172.00 94%, Above 1212.00 40% — 3 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 22, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUEV-26SEP14. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event15 outcomes

EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026

·Economy·ends Sep 22, 2026

vol cum

$12.2k

vol 24h

$12.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

marketselected outcome

Above 1142.00

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.2k

vol 24h

$1.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 22, 2026

If the Truflation EV Commodity Index on Sep 14, 2026 is above 1142.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 14, 2026opencloses · Sep 22, 2026

Above 1142.00 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history