What is the current probability for "Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?": Before Jan 1, 2027 36%, Before Oct 1, 2026 35% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 8, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPAPOLOGY-27JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?

·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2027

vol cum

$27.5k

vol 24h

$22.7k

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

rank #1

United States

36¢

▲ 17.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.7k

vol 24h

$4.7k

spread

0.09

ends

Jan 8, 2027

If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 9, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history