What is the current probability for "Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?": Above 38.6% 25%, 38.5% 24%, 38.4% 21% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26OCT06. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Kalshi

↗

event9 outcomes

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026?

·Politics·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$17k

vol 24h

$17k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Above 38.6%

rank #1

United States

25¢

▲ 25.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.7k

vol 24h

$2.7k

spread

0.04

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 5, 2026closing sooncloses · Oct 6, 2026

Above 38.6% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history