What is the current probability for "Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 23, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 23, 2026?": Below 39.6% 54%, 39.6% 15%, 39.7% 14% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 23, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPAPPROVE-26SEP23. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 23, 2026?

·Politics·ends Sep 23, 2026

vol cum

$14.3k

vol 24h

$14k

outcomes

ends

Sep 23, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Below 39.6%

rank #1

United States

54¢

▲ 18.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.7k

vol 24h

$3.7k

spread

0.02

ends

Sep 23, 2026

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 22, 2026closing sooncloses · Sep 23, 2026

Below 39.6% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history