pdatanews298
marketsingle market

Will Trump talk to Lula before November?

Kalshi·Politics
United StatesBrazil

As of 18:44 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Trump talk to Lula before November?” at 39% (-23pp in 24h). The market has $2.3k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.

39%
▼ 23.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.5k
vol 24h
$2.3k
spread
0.02
ends
Nov 8, 2026
Yes 39¢
No 61¢

If Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not

timeline
opened · Oct 26, 2026opencloses · Nov 8, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata