What is the current probability for "What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?": Oil / Gas / Gasoline 93%, Radical Left 90%, Venezuela 90% (top 3 of 35 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 24, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTION-26SEP09. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event35 outcomes

What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?

·Mentions·ends Sep 24, 2026

vol cum

$24.2k

vol 24h

$24.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 35

marketselected outcome

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

rank #1

93¢

▲ 18.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3k

vol 24h

$3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 24, 2026

If Donald Trump says Oil / Gas / Gasoline as part of RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Sep 24, 2026

Oil / Gas / Gasoline · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history