What is the current probability for "What will Trump say during his tele-rally with John McGuire?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What will Trump say during his tele-rally with John McGuire?" are Oil / Gas / Gasoline 35% — 8 of 25 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26SEP17B. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event25 outcomes

What will Trump say during his tele-rally with John McGuire?

·Mentions·ends Oct 1, 2026

vol cum

$147.2k

vol 24h

$147.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 25

marketselected outcome

America First

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 39.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.2k

vol 24h

$2.2k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 1, 2026

If Donald Trump says America First as part of tele-rally with John McGuire originally scheduled for September 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 17, 2026closedresolved · Oct 1, 2026

America First · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history