What is the current probability for "What will Trump say this week?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What will Trump say this week?" are TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome 81%, Rigged Election / Stolen Election 79%, Melania 64% — 12 of 32 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG03. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event32 outcomes

What will Trump say this week?

·Mentions·ends Aug 3, 2026

vol cum

$236.8k

vol 24h

$236.8k

outcomes

ends

Aug 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 32

marketselected outcome

Ballroom

rank #1

United States

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2k

vol 24h

$2k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 3, 2026

If Ballroom, or a plural or possessive form of Ballroom, is stated by Donald Trump after July 27th, 2026 at 8:00am ET and before Aug 3, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 27, 2026opencloses · Aug 3, 2026

Ballroom · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history