What is the current probability for "What will Trump say this week?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will Trump say this week?": Socialist / Socialism 91%, Transgender 91%, Sleepy Joe 90% (top 3 of 31 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG24. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event31 outcomes

What will Trump say this week?

·Mentions·ends Aug 24, 2026

vol cum

$17.7k

vol 24h

$17.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 31

marketselected outcome

Socialist / Socialism

rank #1

United States

91¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$131

vol 24h

$131

spread

0.05

ends

Aug 24, 2026

If Socialist / Socialism, or a plural or possessive form of Socialist / Socialism, is stated by Donald Trump after August 17, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Aug 24, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026opencloses · Aug 24, 2026

Socialist / Socialism · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event31 outcomes

What will Trump say this week?

·Mentions·ends Aug 24, 2026

vol cum

$17.7k

vol 24h

$17.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 31

marketselected outcome

Socialist / Socialism

rank #1

United States

91¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$131

vol 24h

$131

spread

0.05

ends

Aug 24, 2026

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026opencloses · Aug 24, 2026

Socialist / Socialism · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history