What is the current probability for "What will Trump say this week?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What will Trump say this week?" are Golf / Golfer / Golfing 89%, Landslide 86%, Sleepy Joe 83% — 2 of 37 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 5, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSAY-26OCT05. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event37 outcomes

What will Trump say this week?

·Mentions·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$11.1k

vol 24h

$11k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 37

marketselected outcome

Transgender

rank #1

97¢

▲ 8.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$600

vol 24h

$600

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If Transgender, or a plural or possessive form of Transgender, is stated by Donald Trump after September 28, 2026 at 8:15am ET and before Oct 5, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 28, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

Transgender · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history