What is the current probability for "What countries will Trump say in September?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What countries will Trump say in September?" are Qatar / Qatari 87%, France / French 85%, UAE / United Arab Emirates 76% — 3 of 39 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSAYCOUNTRY-26OCT01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event39 outcomes

What countries will Trump say in September?

·Mentions·ends Oct 1, 2026

vol cum

$10.9k

vol 24h

$10.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 39

marketselected outcome

Argentina / Argentinian

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.39

ends

Oct 1, 2026

If Argentina / Argentinian, or a plural or possessive form of Argentina / Argentinian, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 1, 2026

Argentina / Argentinian · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history