What is the current probability for "What nicknames will Trump say before October?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What nicknames will Trump say before October?" are Whack Job / Wack Job 28%, Piggy 16%, Little Communist 14% — 16 of 29 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26OCT01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event29 outcomes

What nicknames will Trump say before October?

·Mentions·ends Oct 1, 2026

vol cum

$338.7k

vol 24h

$24.7k

outcomes

ends

Oct 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 29

marketselected outcome

Barack Hussein Obama

rank #1 · resolved: yes

United States

99¢

vol cum

$11k

vol 24h

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 1, 2026

If Barack Hussein Obama, or a plural or possessive form of Barack Hussein Obama, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026closedresolved · Jul 2, 2026

Barack Hussein Obama · prices over time

−24h

now

no price history yet

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history