What is the current probability for "Michał Machelski vs Mucha Grzegorz"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Michał Machelski vs Mucha Grzegorz": Michał Machelski 99%, Mucha Grzegorz 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 7, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTTELITEMATCH-26SEP301745MMAMGR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Michał Machelski vs Mucha Grzegorz

·Sports·ends Oct 7, 2026

vol cum

$13.8k

vol 24h

$13.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 7, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Michał Machelski

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.4k

vol 24h

$9.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 7, 2026

If Michał Machelski wins the Michał Machelski vs Mucha Grzegorz men's professional TT Elite Series table tennis match originally scheduled for Sep 30, 2026 at 5:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 30, 2026closedresolved · Sep 30, 2026

Michał Machelski · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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