opentrade on
↗
event4 outcomes
Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?
vol cum
$3.2k
vol 24h
$3.1k
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 8, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
Before Dec 1, 2026
rank #1
United StatesChina
20¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$260
vol 24h
$107
spread
0.01
ends
Dec 8, 2026
If a new AI safety agreement between the U.S. and Chinese governments is formally announced after Issuance and reported by any of the Source Agencies before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 17, 2026opencloses · Dec 8, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
yes8¢· 0.0pp
$482 24h · 1 market
Will the US create a national AI regulator?
Before Jan 1, 202875¢· 0.0ppBefore Jul 1, 202741¢· 0.0ppBefore Jan 1, 202720¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 3 markets
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
yes78¢
M0 24h · 1 market
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
yes12¢· 0.0pp
$5.3k 24h · 1 market
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
yes15¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market
An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027
yes16¢· 0.0pp
M4 24h · 1 market