What is the current probability for "10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 5, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 5, 2026?": 4.58% or above 92%, 4.6% or above 73%, 4.62% or above 67% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/7/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXUST10AD-26AUG05. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.