Question 1

What is the current probability for "What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ?": Democrat 95%, Biden 80%, Election 80% (top 3 of 27 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Oct 2, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVANCEMENTION-26SEP18. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.