What is the current probability for "What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?" are 2028 / Campaign 92%, Healthcare 10%, Afford / Affordable / Affordability 7% — 14 of 28 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 14, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVANCEMENTION-26SEP30. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event28 outcomes

What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?

·Mentions·ends Oct 14, 2026

vol cum

$65.2k

vol 24h

$61.1k

outcomes

ends

Oct 14, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 28

marketselected outcome

Biden

rank #1

99¢

▲ 98.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.5k

vol 24h

$6.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 14, 2026

If JD Vance says Biden as part of Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 30, 2026opencloses · Oct 14, 2026

Biden · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history