What is the current probability for "Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?": Below 8.6% 29%, 8.9% 25%, 8.7% 17% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 1, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVHGCB-26OCT01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

soontrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?

·Politics·ends Oct 1, 2026

vol cum

$10.3k

vol 24h

$10.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 1, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Below 8.6%

rank #1

United States

29¢

▲ 29.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.1k

vol 24h

$2.1k

spread

0.04

ends

Oct 1, 2026

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.6% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 30, 2026closing sooncloses · Oct 1, 2026

Below 8.6% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history