What is the current probability for "How many Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "How many Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture?": Above 48 98%, Above 50 2%, Above 52 2% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVOTECLARITY-26SEP15. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event8 outcomes

How many Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture?

·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$18.8k

vol 24h

$18.8k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

Above 48

rank #1 · resolved: yes

98¢

▲ 98.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$288

vol 24h

$288

spread

1.00

ends

Jan 1, 2027

If the number of Senators voting Yea on the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before Jan 1, 2027 is above 48, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2026closedresolved · Sep 15, 2026

Above 48 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history