What is the current probability for "CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent"?

Current Kalshi odds for "CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent": At least 1% 39%, At least 2% 11%, At least 3% 6% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-CO04-26WTHO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

CO-04 House election: Wayne Thornton vote percent

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

vol cum

$25.5k

vol 24h

$25.5k

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

At least 1%

rank #1

39¢

▲ 39.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3.2k

vol 24h

$3.2k

spread

0.13

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Wayne Thornton in the 2026 CO-04 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 11, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

At least 1% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history