What is the current probability for "LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)"?

Current Kalshi odds for "LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)": At least 30% 30%, At least 32% 17%, At least 34% 6% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVOTEGENERAL-KXHOUSERACE-LA04-26MGRO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event8 outcomes

LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

vol cum

$13.3k

vol 24h

$13.3k

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

At least 30%

rank #1

30¢

▲ 30.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4k

vol 24h

$4k

spread

0.10

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Matt Gromlich in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 11, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

At least 30% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history