Question 1

What is the current probability for "KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 5/19/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent

Markets

45% - 48%

42% - 45%

39% - 42%

Below 39%

48% - 51%

51% - 54%

54% - 57%

57% - 60%

At least 60%