What is the current probability for "Golden Ball Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Golden Ball Winner": Kylian Mbappe 44%, Lionel Messi 33%, Erling Haaland 8% (top 3 of 67 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/14/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCAWARD-26GBALL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.