What is the current probability for "FIFA World Cup: Top 4 Finishing Order"?

Current Kalshi odds for "FIFA World Cup: Top 4 Finishing Order": 1: England / 2: Spain / 3: Argentina / 4: France 20%, 1: Spain / 2: England / 3: Argentina / 4: France 17%, 1: England / 2: Spain / 3: France / 4: Argentina 15% (top 3 of 16 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCFINISHINGORDER-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event16 outcomes

FIFA World Cup: Top 4 Finishing Order

·Sports·ends Aug 3, 2026

vol cum

$14.6k

vol 24h

$11.9k

outcomes

ends

Aug 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 16

marketselected outcome

1: England / 2: Spain / 3: Argentina / 4: France

rank #1

20¢

▲ 20.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.02

ends

Aug 3, 2026

If England finishes first, Spain finishes second, Argentina finishes third, and France finishes fourth in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Aug 3, 2026

1: England / 2: Spain / 3: Argentina / 4: France · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.