Question 1

What is the current probability for "Group D: Exact Order"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Group D: Exact Order": 1: USA / 2: Turkiye / 3: Paraguay / 4: Australia 15%, 1: Turkiye / 2: USA / 3: Paraguay / 4: Australia 13%, 1: USA / 2: Turkiye / 3: Australia / 4: Paraguay 10% (top 3 of 24 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 7/12/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCGROUPORDER-D26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Group D: Exact Order

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