What is the current probability for "Norway vs France: Haaland to Play"?

"Yes" is currently 1% on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCPLAY-26JUN26NORFRAEHAALAND. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Norway vs France: Haaland to Play

·Sports

▼ 75.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$19.9k

vol 24h

$19.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 4, 2026

Yes 1¢

No 99¢

If Erling Haaland enters the game in the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves Yes if they enter the game and record official playing time at any point during regulation time, stoppage time, or extra time if played. Being listed in the starting lineup, named as a substitute, or included on the matchday squad without entering the match does not constitute participation.

timeline

opened · Jun 26, 2026opencloses · Jul 4, 2026

similar markets