What is the current probability for "Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal Starters"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal Starters": Bruno Fernandes starts for Portugal 99%, Cristiano Ronaldo starts for Portugal 99%, Diogo Costa starts for Portugal 99% (top 3 of 26 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCSTART-26JUL02PORCRO-POR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event26 outcomes

Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal Starters

·Sports·ends Jul 3, 2026

vol cum

$105.2k

vol 24h

$105.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 26

marketselected outcome

Bruno Fernandes starts for Portugal

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.7k

vol 24h

$1.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 3, 2026

If Bruno Fernandes starts for Portugal in the Portugal vs Croatia FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026closedresolved · Jul 2, 2026

Bruno Fernandes starts for Portugal · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.