What is the current probability for "Paraguay vs France: France Starters"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Paraguay vs France: France Starters" are Dayot Upamecano starts for France 90%, Marcus Thuram starts for France 40%, Ibrahima Konate starts for France 5% — 10 of 26 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCSTART-26JUL04PARFRA-FRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event26 outcomes

Paraguay vs France: France Starters

·Sports·ends Jul 5, 2026

vol cum

$35k

vol 24h

$35k

outcomes

ends

Jul 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 26

marketselected outcome

Adrien Rabiot starts for France

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.7k

vol 24h

$2.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 5, 2026

If Adrien Rabiot starts for France in the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 4, 2026closedresolved · Jul 4, 2026

Adrien Rabiot starts for France · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.