What is the current probability for "Spain vs Belgium: Spain Starters"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Spain vs Belgium: Spain Starters" are Alex Baena starts for Spain 93%, Lamine Yamal starts for Spain 88%, Dani Olmo starts for Spain 86% — 5 of 26 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCSTART-26JUL10ESPBEL-ESP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event26 outcomes

Spain vs Belgium: Spain Starters

·Sports·ends Jul 11, 2026

vol cum

$10.2k

vol 24h

$10.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 26

marketselected outcome

Unai Simon starts for Spain

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.9k

vol 24h

$4.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 11, 2026

If Unai Simon starts for Spain in the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 7, 2026opencloses · Jul 11, 2026

Unai Simon starts for Spain · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.