What is the current probability for "France vs Spain: Spain Starters"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "France vs Spain: Spain Starters" are Pedro Porro starts for Spain 94%, Alex Baena starts for Spain 92%, Dani Olmo starts for Spain 89% — 7 of 26 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCSTART-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event26 outcomes

France vs Spain: Spain Starters

·Sports·ends Jul 15, 2026

vol cum

$10.6k

vol 24h

$10.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 26

marketselected outcome

Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$121

vol 24h

$121

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 15, 2026

If Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain in the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Jul 15, 2026

Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.