What is the current probability for "France vs Spain: France Starters"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "France vs Spain: France Starters" are Lucas Digne starts for France 93%, Desire Doue starts for France 76%, Aurelien Tchouameni starts for France 73% — 8 of 26 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/15/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCSTART-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event26 outcomes

France vs Spain: France Starters

·Sports·ends Jul 15, 2026

vol cum

$10.6k

vol 24h

$10.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 26

marketselected outcome

Adrien Rabiot starts for France

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$132

vol 24h

$132

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 15, 2026

If Adrien Rabiot starts for France in the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 13, 2026opencloses · Jul 15, 2026

Adrien Rabiot starts for France · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.