What is the current probability for "Spain vs Austria: Spain First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Spain vs Austria: Spain First Goalscorer": Mikel Oyarzabal 99%, No Spain Goalscorer 33%, Alex Baena 14% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL02ESPAUT-ESP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

Spain vs Austria: Spain First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 16, 2026

vol cum

$21.9k

vol 24h

$21.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Mikel Oyarzabal

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$13.1k

vol 24h

$13.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 16, 2026

If Mikel Oyarzabal records the first goal for Spain during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026closedresolved · Jul 16, 2026

Mikel Oyarzabal · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.