What is the current probability for "Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal First Goalscorer": Cristiano Ronaldo 38%, Rafael Leao 27%, Joao Neves 17% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL02PORCRO-POR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

Portugal vs Croatia: Portugal First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 16, 2026

vol cum

$14.7k

vol 24h

$13.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Cristiano Ronaldo

rank #1

38¢

▲ 38.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.2k

vol 24h

$8.7k

spread

0.06

ends

Jul 16, 2026

If Cristiano Ronaldo records the first goal for Portugal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Portugal vs Croatia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026opencloses · Jul 16, 2026

Cristiano Ronaldo · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.