What is the current probability for "Argentina vs Cape Verde: Argentina First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Argentina vs Cape Verde: Argentina First Goalscorer": Lionel Messi 99%, Thiago Almada 94%, Alexis Mac Allister 91% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL03ARGCPV-ARG. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

Argentina vs Cape Verde: Argentina First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 17, 2026

vol cum

$47.9k

vol 24h

$47.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Lionel Messi

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 64.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$35.9k

vol 24h

$35.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 17, 2026

If Lionel Messi records the first goal for Argentina during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Argentina vs Cape Verde professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 3, 2026closedresolved · Jul 17, 2026

Lionel Messi · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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