What is the current probability for "Paraguay vs France: France First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Paraguay vs France: France First Goalscorer": Kylian Mbappe 99%, Adrien Rabiot 45%, Michael Olise 45% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/18/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL04PARFRA-FRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

Paraguay vs France: France First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 18, 2026

vol cum

$46.6k

vol 24h

$46.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Kylian Mbappe

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 57.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$31.4k

vol 24h

$31.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 18, 2026

If Kylian Mbappe records the first goal for France during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Paraguay vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 4, 2026closedresolved · Jul 18, 2026

Kylian Mbappe · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.