What is the current probability for "Brazil vs Norway: Brazil First Goalscorer"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Brazil vs Norway: Brazil First Goalscorer" are Gabriel Martinelli 26%, Casemiro 20%, Danilo 10% — 2 of 15 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/19/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL05BRANOR-BRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event15 outcomes

Brazil vs Norway: Brazil First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 19, 2026

vol cum

$15.1k

vol 24h

$15.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 15

marketselected outcome

Neymar

rank #1 · resolved: yes

96¢

▲ 2.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$6.9k

vol 24h

$6.9k

spread

0.04

ends

Jul 19, 2026

If Neymar records the first goal for Brazil during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Brazil vs Norway professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 5, 2026closedresolved · Jul 19, 2026

Neymar · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.