What is the current probability for "USA vs Belgium: USA First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "USA vs Belgium: USA First Goalscorer": Malik Tillman 90%, Antonee Robinson 30%, Christian Pulisic 25% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL06USABEL-USA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

USA vs Belgium: USA First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 21, 2026

vol cum

$42.3k

vol 24h

$41.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Malik Tillman

rank #1 · resolved: yes

90¢

▲ 90.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$23.9k

vol 24h

$22.9k

spread

0.25

ends

Jul 21, 2026

If Malik Tillman records the first goal for USA during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the USA vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 6, 2026closedresolved · Jul 21, 2026

Malik Tillman · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.