What is the current probability for "Spain vs Belgium: Spain First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Spain vs Belgium: Spain First Goalscorer": Fabian Ruiz 99%, Aymeric Laporte 8%, Rodri 8% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/24/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL10ESPBEL-ESP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

Spain vs Belgium: Spain First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 24, 2026

vol cum

$30.6k

vol 24h

$29.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 24, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Fabian Ruiz

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$15.4k

vol 24h

$15.4k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 24, 2026

If Fabian Ruiz records the first goal for Spain during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 10, 2026closedresolved · Jul 24, 2026

Fabian Ruiz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.