What is the current probability for "France vs Spain: Spain First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "France vs Spain: Spain First Goalscorer": Mikel Oyarzabal 99%, Dani Olmo 3%, Fabian Ruiz 3% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event11 outcomes

France vs Spain: Spain First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$38.3k

vol 24h

$38.3k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Mikel Oyarzabal

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 75.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$23k

vol 24h

$23k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If Mikel Oyarzabal records the first goal for Spain during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026closedresolved · Jul 28, 2026

Mikel Oyarzabal · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.