What is the current probability for "Spain vs Argentina: Argentina First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Spain vs Argentina: Argentina First Goalscorer": No Argentina Goalscorer 99%, Lionel Messi 86%, Leandro Paredes 2% (top 3 of 17 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/2/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUL19ESPARG-ARG. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event17 outcomes

Spain vs Argentina: Argentina First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Aug 2, 2026

vol cum

$31.7k

vol 24h

$31.7k

outcomes

ends

Aug 2, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 17

marketselected outcome

No Argentina Goalscorer

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.9k

vol 24h

$1.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 2, 2026

If no player records the first goal for Argentina during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 19, 2026closedresolved · Aug 2, 2026

No Argentina Goalscorer · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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