What is the current probability for "Uruguay vs Spain: Spain First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Uruguay vs Spain: Spain First Goalscorer": Alex Baena 99%, Lamine Yamal 94%, Pedri 33% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/11/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUN26URUESP-ESP. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event11 outcomes

Uruguay vs Spain: Spain First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 11, 2026

vol cum

$12.1k

vol 24h

$12.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 11, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Alex Baena

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.9k

vol 24h

$4.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 11, 2026

If Alex Baena records the first goal for Spain during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 26, 2026closedresolved · Jul 11, 2026

Alex Baena · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.