What is the current probability for "Brazil vs Japan: Brazil First Goalscorer"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Brazil vs Japan: Brazil First Goalscorer" are No Brazil Goalscorer 20%, Rayan 14%, Lucas Paqueta 12% — 2 of 12 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUN29BRAJPN-BRA. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

Brazil vs Japan: Brazil First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 13, 2026

vol cum

$20.1k

vol 24h

$20.1k

outcomes

ends

Jul 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Casemiro

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9.2k

vol 24h

$9.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 13, 2026

If Casemiro records the first goal for Brazil during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Brazil vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 29, 2026closedresolved · Jul 13, 2026

Casemiro · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.