What is the current probability for "Germany vs Paraguay: Germany First Goalscorer"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Germany vs Paraguay: Germany First Goalscorer": Kai Havertz 99%, Aleksandar Pavlovic 6%, Joshua Kimmich 6% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/13/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWCTEAMFIRSTGOAL-26JUN29GERPAR-GER. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

Germany vs Paraguay: Germany First Goalscorer

·Sports·ends Jul 13, 2026

vol cum

$15.5k

vol 24h

$15.5k

outcomes

ends

Jul 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Kai Havertz

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$8.1k

vol 24h

$8.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 13, 2026

If Kai Havertz records the first goal for Germany during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Germany vs Paraguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jun 29, 2026closedresolved · Jul 13, 2026

Kai Havertz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.