What is the current probability for "Arango vs Nilsson"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Arango vs Nilsson": Emiliana Arango 99%, Lea Nilsson 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/20/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTACHALLENGERMATCH-26JUL06ARANIL. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Arango vs Nilsson

·Sports·ends Jul 20, 2026

vol cum

$124.9k

vol 24h

$124.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Emiliana Arango

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$64.1k

vol 24h

$64.1k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 20, 2026

If Emiliana Arango wins the Arango vs Nilsson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA 125K Bastad Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 5, 2026closedresolved · Jul 20, 2026

Emiliana Arango · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.