What is the current probability for "Yao vs Sasnovich"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Yao vs Sasnovich": Aliaksandra Sasnovich 99%, Xinxin Yao 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 19, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTACHALLENGERMATCH-26OCT05YAOSAS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Yao vs Sasnovich

·Sports·ends Oct 19, 2026

vol cum

$528.5k

vol 24h

$526.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$174.5k

vol 24h

$174.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 19, 2026

If Aliaksandra Sasnovich wins the Yao vs Sasnovich professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA 125K Suzhou Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 4, 2026opencloses · Oct 19, 2026

Aliaksandra Sasnovich · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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