What is the current probability for "Ortenzi vs Stoiana"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Ortenzi vs Stoiana": Mary Stoiana 91%, Jazmin Ortenzi 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 22, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTACHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP08ORTSTO. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Ortenzi vs Stoiana

·Sports·ends Sep 22, 2026

vol cum

$16.5k

vol 24h

$16.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Mary Stoiana

rank #1

91¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.7k

vol 24h

$1.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 22, 2026

If Mary Stoiana wins the Ortenzi vs Stoiana professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA 125K Barranquilla Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Sep 22, 2026

Mary Stoiana · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.