What is the current probability for "Osaka vs Muchova"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Osaka vs Muchova": Naomi Osaka 55%, Karolina Muchova 47% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/21/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTAMATCH-26JUL07OSAMUC. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Osaka vs Muchova

·Sports·ends Jul 21, 2026

vol cum

$27.1k

vol 24h

$26.9k

outcomes

ends

Jul 21, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Naomi Osaka

rank #1

55¢

▼ 38.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.4k

vol 24h

$4.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 21, 2026

If Naomi Osaka wins the Osaka vs Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 5, 2026opencloses · Jul 21, 2026

Naomi Osaka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.