What is the current probability for "Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko: Set 1 Winner": Aryna Sabalenka 99%, Jelena Ostapenko 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/17/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTASETWINNER-26JUL03SABOST-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Jul 17, 2026

vol cum

$122.9k

vol 24h

$121.7k

outcomes

ends

Jul 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Aryna Sabalenka

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 27.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$63.6k

vol 24h

$62.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 17, 2026

If Aryna Sabalenka wins set 1 in the Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026closedresolved · Jul 3, 2026

Aryna Sabalenka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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