What is the current probability for "Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka: Set 1 Winner": Naomi Osaka 82%, Karolina Muchova 19% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXWTASETWINNER-26OCT05MUCOSA-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 20, 2026

vol cum

$54.5k

vol 24h

$29.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Naomi Osaka

rank #1

82¢

▲ 37.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$26.9k

vol 24h

$17.7k

spread

0.03

ends

Oct 20, 2026

If Naomi Osaka wins set 1 in the Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 5, 2026opencloses · Oct 20, 2026

Naomi Osaka · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.